South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ee481cd13ab03dbd3d5e8f86c27a23b5ca1ea943b9faf1707b1740fc297b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 21c | 6,074$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.22 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 4,649$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 71c | 4,332$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.28 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 4,052$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.76 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 12c | 2,091$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.77 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 1,998$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.9 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 1,957$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 29c | 1,568$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.72 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 71c | 1,002$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.45 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 17c | 771.35$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 30c | 663.33$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 599.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Over | 24c | 562.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 32c | 377.39$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 30c | 299.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 29c | 156$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 76c | 145.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 18c | 113.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 72c | 110.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 15c | 84.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 30c | 79.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 77c | 75.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 77c | 51.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 30c | 47.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…1ca6backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 70c | 40.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 79c | 38.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 33.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Under | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…8cd9backed Under | 75c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 79c | 22.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 74c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Under | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: CA Barracas Central 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: CA Barracas Central O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.