Champions League · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x874cc3f1cd877077be2e5bb2827d3f61016a50b9a1c41cc1a15d9e45ba442a4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 24c | 12,010$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,128.41 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,838$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.75 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 1,718$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.35 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 1,357$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.32 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 76c | 1,250$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,164$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 76c | 936.2$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.51 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…141dbacked Yes | 24c | 807.58$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 76c | 784$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.84 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 29c | 663.34$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.91 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 534.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 523.56$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.9 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 434.77$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.07 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 17c | 341.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.17 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 271$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 23c | 124.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 76c | 78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 78c | 74.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 79cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 78c | 30.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 79cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 78c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 54 | 75.9%41 W · 13 L | +10.4wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 78c | 27.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 76c | 16.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +208.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais leading at halftime?this page
- Fenerbahçe SK leading at halftime?No won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.