TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes36c30,379$10,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,871.243250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9207…d26ebacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c19,834$12,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,217.052,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes37c18,016$6,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6662347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No75c5,451$4,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.41,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c4,256$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.323,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c3,619$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.1369448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes38c3,144$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20014352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c3,108$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.771,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No64c2,285$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.2366150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7209754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c1,997$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.8996947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No64c1,659$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.8131856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.59152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Yes29c1,550$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c1,496$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes21c1,376$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.774431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes37c1,030$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.922,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25910249%50 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2168350.6%42 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No63c563.4$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.467565.3%49 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked No63c514.24$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.275851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked No64c500.08$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1445154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No64c396$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.621,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No64c368$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.487354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked No66c335.15$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.95366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No63c315$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3838144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No64c309.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0618056.7%102 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No69c298.94$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8381440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes32c273.03$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7255845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes19c231.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9631430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No64c214.9$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3674155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7212358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726959.4%41 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No78c188$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0353564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes27c163.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.692,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No64c152$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.725356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Yes35c141.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No65c130$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.517443.1%75 W · 99 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eca…cfccbacked No64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No65c122$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.73828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked No63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb99b…984dbacked Yes12c112.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No64c112$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No68c91.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0185260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No69c87.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4558061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes38c84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6427039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No64c83.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8455545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303122.6%7 W · 24 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No64c80.65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9737043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No64c77.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.486358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No64c74.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4223653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…c33dbacked Yes38c73.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No64c71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.565664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No64c69.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.784955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes37c64.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.971931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9838952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No65c54.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7979354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed No64c53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c06…84a9backed Yes37c51.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+73.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No64c44.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0517153.8%92 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47558.7%44 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes38c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.828347%39 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked No66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.913554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes34c37.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.928245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No79c36.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4920244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf85…f7e6backed No63c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No64c35.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8811168.5%76 W · 35 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes37c35.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.131,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No64c25.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.328366.3%55 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No63c24.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9744156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No64c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.644860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No63c20.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4365549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.24479.5%35 W · 9 L+8.0wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.25759.6%34 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7514443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7514744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No63c16.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.963464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed No65c15.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.