Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50a82a73acaf1061049d9cf95ce2206c4f22a0e66cc95cd01d71a18fafcab324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 4,437$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.73 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Yes | 33c | 3,755$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 23c | 3,464$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.39 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 2,993$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.92 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 65c | 2,427$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 35c | 2,143$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 17c | 1,654$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 1,482$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.7 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 1,276$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.56 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 1,122$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.42 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 34c | 842$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.88 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 570.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 544.49$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.94 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Yes | 10c | 494.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 301.35$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 21c | 260.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 28c | 244.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 66c | 168.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 34c | 143.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Yes | 14c | 139.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 35c | 128.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 64c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 36c | 115.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 32c | 101.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 36c | 97.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 36c | 75.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 34c | 74.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 27c | 72.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 33c | 69.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 67c | 68.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Yes | 34c | 67.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 63.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 70c | 55.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 28c | 47.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 36c | 43.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed No | 66c | 37.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 70c | 35.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 33.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 36c | 30.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 37c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 65c | 27.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 66c | 18.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 13.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.