TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,984
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,984 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Yes41c74,332$30,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,644.713650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No50c12,670$6,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,314.632,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c11,005$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.41,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c10,200$6,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1281,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c7,757$4,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,443.165,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c7,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.092,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No60c6,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No58c6,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52013855.8%77 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c5,934$3,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.721,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c5,206$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.691,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes40c4,720$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8888834.1%30 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes71c4,193$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.071850%9 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c2,424$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.561,10149.7%547 W · 554 L+3.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No35c2,122$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.6996846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes76c1,722$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002065%13 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x109e…3047backed Yes40c1,616$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No59c1,600$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65618253.3%97 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49212050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No59c1,186$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.4413849.3%68 W · 70 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Yes67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No59c984.36$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.594158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No59c910$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.117658%102 W · 74 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No59c847.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4516647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No60c807$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.81580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No66c800$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2756643.9%29 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No29c783.85$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.0884347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28713154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24617147.4%81 W · 90 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No58c592$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6416856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009542.1%40 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Yes35c514.29$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes40c500.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20515150.3%76 W · 75 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No61c447.24$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9130464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No44c432.96$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8727639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes67c410.45$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No59c400.79$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.311,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-42.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16421052.4%110 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16414353.8%77 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.874161%25 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes35c315$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1720769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No60c306.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.931,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12315354.9%84 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12316152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No59c260$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.614951%76 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No59c260$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.614452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No45c259.8$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8124448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No35c255.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1515671.8%112 W · 44 L+33.6wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+63.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006038.3%23 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes47c216$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5792235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No60c212.44$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0540051%204 W · 196 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c207$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8653148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c204.69$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7582053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No58c195.24$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d4…c002backed Yes77c190.3$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.531752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Yes11c175.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x680d…05eabacked No50c169.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2271…16a0backed Yes75c169.05$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes63c165.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.951,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed No61c165.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.03850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afc…5d32backed Yes72c160.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.612552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes65c160$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10412153.7%65 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No47c156.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9273850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No59c156$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9618256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No59c156$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9614854.1%80 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc64…96febacked Yes66c151.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.51735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No65c145.29$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.856753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x123f…5143backed Yes70c143.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ed…cf1abacked Yes70c143$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.416154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No60c138.88$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5554354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd292…07f8backed No59c138.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed No59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.591163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed No60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed No77c120.17$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.092777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811557.4%66 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed No58c118.8$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes39c114.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7418544.3%82 W · 103 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No60c109$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.930049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No60c101.35$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5414058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No60c101.35$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5440156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked No32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684445.5%20 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.135726.3%15 W · 42 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4116155.9%90 W · 71 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4112852.3%67 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4117953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x005a…1349backed Yes40c97.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.062268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes41c91.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3519451.5%100 W · 94 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No59c90$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889a…0456backed No59c85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed No61c83.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…1927backed No60c82.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed No61c82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.810057%57 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.