Mls · resolved market
Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9eb58ac5232746d5626fba5db37207b2b59231479905a62f0960b2361d8fa0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Under | 52c | 134,307$70,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,161.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 20,249$9,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,738.83 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 15,776$7,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524.27 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Over | 47c | 14,255$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Over | 47c | 8,223$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 7,445$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.46 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 6,930$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.64 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 48c | 5,243$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.83 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Over | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 3,033$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.11 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 2,868$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.17 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 1,793$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.11 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 48c | 1,568$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.64 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Over | 46c | 1,475$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.7 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 54c | 1,287$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.88 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 48c | 1,188$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.06 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 48c | 832.56$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 48c | 747$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.51 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 48c | 747$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.51 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 48c | 747$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.51 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 47c | 741.51$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 49c | 738$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.36 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 653.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 641.17$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.79 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 639.25$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.22 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 48c | 487$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.83 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 471.88$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.14 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 52c | 434.42$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 38c | 405.69$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.21 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 386.45$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 372$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 48c | 302$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 48c | 301.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 48c | 291.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 271$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 48c | 239.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.53 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 49c | 229.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 49c | 229.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 215.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 54c | 204.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 52c | 197$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Under | 51c | 196.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 196.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 48c | 180.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 35c | 167.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…fa11backed Under | 53c | 167.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 45c | 163.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 49c | 163.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 65c | 160.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 48c | 157.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 48c | 156$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 49c | 155$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Over | 48c | 152.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 60c | 135.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 46c | 130.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Under | 54c | 124.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 65c | 115.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 29c | 112.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 44c | 110.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 109$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 48c | 107.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 49c | 102.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 49c | 98.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Over | 48c | 97.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 91.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 47c | 84.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 49c | 78.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Under | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 79cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Over | 75c | 72.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Orlando City SC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.