Mls · resolved market
Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6529807829fa1395c4314a941670dc4aea3c66f7b20da721081edc8a6d9d6b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Under | 47c | 57,164$26,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,392 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 53c | 7,574$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.22 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 6,474$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.21 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 46c | 6,070$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 5,146$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.68 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 53c | 4,719$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.29 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.99 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 3,606$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.69 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 48c | 3,299$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.5 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 2,379$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.84 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 54c | 2,355$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.75 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 38c | 2,058$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.05 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 52c | 2,029$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.13 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 53c | 2,004$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 54c | 1,923$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.85 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 53c | 1,568$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.04 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 46c | 1,338$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 53c | 1,030$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.99 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.25 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 68c | 931.67$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.54 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 62c | 924.95$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.48 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 889.28$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.09 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 42c | 850$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 45c | 708$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 53c | 705$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.52 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 660.89$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.23 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 48c | 602$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.04 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Over | 53c | 592.45$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 588.24$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.8 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 53c | 566.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 50c | 508.95$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.48 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 53c | 471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 48c | 457.76$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 52c | 457.76$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 53c | 440.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Under | 56c | 435.71$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 406$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.53 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 53c | 352$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 54c | 335.09$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 48c | 299.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 52c | 246.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 53c | 244.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 53c | 240.53$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 54c | 229.36$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 222.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 53c | 221.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 45c | 214$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…ece7backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 48c | 204.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 53c | 200.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 189.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 51c | 182.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10c2…b137backed Over | 55c | 182.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 53c | 168$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 44c | 165.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 53c | 156$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 54c | 136.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 135.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 134.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 52c | 118.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 48c | 102.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Over | 52c | 95.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 37c | 93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Under | 57c | 85.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 51c | 79.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 53c | 76.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Under | 59c | 76.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 36c | 71.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 53c | 71.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 69.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 49c | 68.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 49c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5this page
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati O/U 1.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati O/U 2.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 0.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 5.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Orlando City SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Orlando City SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Orlando City SC O/U 1.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Orlando City SC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.