Mls · resolved market
Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc89a91940b1e47580b697353b8fccce4a5a768b533bb8ac74a2fdb82eb1ce084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 75c | 5,320$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.97 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 26c | 2,131$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.71 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 26c | 1,382$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 26c | 1,290$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 26c | 1,195$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.78 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 75c | 1,141$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.25 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,004$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.8 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 24c | 691.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.87 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 75c | 395$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 26c | 367.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 26c | 349$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 24c | 264.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 75c | 199$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 11c | 179$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 26c | 121.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 63.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Yes | 70c | 61.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 25c | 55.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 24c | 48.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 69c | 43.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 26c | 43.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…c92ebacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 69c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 76c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Yes | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati O/U 1.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati O/U 2.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 0.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 5.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Orlando City SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Orlando City SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Orlando City SC O/U 1.5Under won
- Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Orlando City SC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.