Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e67422013e376490203dde666a8dde2133f8871c9c001fa94c46b4d0ea971d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a2b…a5cfbacked Yes | 51c | 5,886$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 15c | 3,073$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.63 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,256$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.52 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 49c | 1,440$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 49c | 1,376$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.04 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 499.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 399.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Yes | 45c | 373.21$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 353.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 49c | 352$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 49c | 345$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 12c | 300.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 49c | 288$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 44c | 285.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.95 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 44c | 278.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 79c | 265$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 227$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Yes | 46c | 206.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 189.31$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 46c | 165.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…fb3fbacked Yes | 46c | 159.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 49c | 144$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 49c | 136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9365…cd8ebacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Yes | 77c | 96.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 92.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 54c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 46c | 84.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 78c | 83.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 46c | 83.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 45c | 26.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 54c | 26.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea76…276bbacked No | 52c | 21.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 55c | 20.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will FK Sileks vs. FK Dynama-Minsk end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Sileks win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.