Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Sileks vs. FK Dynama-Minsk end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c974a556a866192398dcd3353dac5467effbf607cdeb153df80e7fed5b46a8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 33c | 1,517$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 1,307$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.24 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 482.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 462.6$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked No | 68c | 228.59$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 169.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 23c | 163.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 32c | 136.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 102.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 28c | 82.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 47.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Yes | 32c | 46.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 72c | 29.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked No | 68c | 15.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Sileks vs. FK Dynama-Minsk end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
- Will FK Sileks win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.