Champions League · resolved market
Qairat FK leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce84e819db4c178222848005f99b1de26d96360b9f76e65acc99ddf14d568ba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 36c | 10,293$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,586.75 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 2,107$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.72 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 1,448$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.62 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 62c | 1,411$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.77 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Yes | 24c | 1,231$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.94 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 858.61$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.6 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 780$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 63c | 578.48$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.46 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 65c | 512$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 66c | 450$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 420.89$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.66 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 378.78$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.55 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 339.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 63c | 337.77$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 304$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 234$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 234$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Yes | 29c | 184.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…96c6backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 94.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 63c | 76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 19c | 55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 68c | 53.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 21c | 47.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +100%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 64c | 39.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 34.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 47c | 34.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 65c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 79c | 13.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 79c | 13.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK leading at halftime?this page
- AS Omónoia Leukosías leading at halftime?No won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.