Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f5abd13a93774a50534364e82deb2e5efed2d0eda44ae3323e033ffddf49bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 76c | 6,979$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.87 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 5,529$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.77 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 3,840$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.97 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Over | 73c | 2,601$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 2,414$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.85 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 1,897$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.64 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 1,689$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.74 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 55c | 1,216$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.98 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 57c | 1,204$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.11 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 1,121$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.92 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 1,019$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.79 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 26c | 896.67$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.32 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 69c | 711.16$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 74c | 665.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 59c | 498.45$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 56c | 417.26$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 74c | 412.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Under | 47c | 407.69$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Over | 74c | 399.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 55c | 354.46$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a2…a105backed Under | 42c | 305.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 68c | 283.83$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Over | 75c | 263.38$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 72c | 215$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 73c | 196.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 42c | 193.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 58c | 150.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 147.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 9c | 131.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 55c | 119.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 26c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Over | 68c | 81.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 27c | 75.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 68c | 73.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 76c | 71.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 64.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 58c | 64.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 57.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 58c | 52.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 32c | 39.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 63c | 39.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…3578backed Over | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…5099backed Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 68c | 23.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 73c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 72c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 61c | 16.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 73c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.