Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd33501d9427f5756f7fef1237ce1a08a57c82871409a96e5994d16065820ff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Genoa CFCof Como 1907, Genoa CFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Como 1907 | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Como 1907 | 14c | 1,355$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.73 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Como 1907 | 12c | 653.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Como 1907 | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Como 1907 | 19c | 320.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Como 1907 | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Como 1907 | 8c | 147.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Como 1907 | 14c | 114.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…27b0backed Como 1907 | 13c | 109.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…fe55backed Como 1907 | 18c | 85.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Genoa CFC | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Genoa CFC | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)this page
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.