Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb178a7bf6fb49e0903785562d50fded5437d5d24fdbf31cd9bb9d0e165dd643a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 27c | 14,722$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.2 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 12,270$9,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.02 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 73c | 3,899$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.64 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 73c | 1,323$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.79 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 16c | 1,278$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 14c | 1,144$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.41 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 73c | 1,015$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.03 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 19c | 856.36$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 779.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 73c | 768.07$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 736.04$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.73 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 78c | 713.56$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.31 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 16c | 535.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 4c | 444.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 344.18$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 73c | 288.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 73c | 208.23$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 16c | 152.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 75c | 112.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 74c | 108.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7235…27bcbacked Under | 76c | 99.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 73c | 93.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 16c | 90.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 67c | 80.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 77c | 70.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed Under | 62c | 68.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 51.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Over | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…4caabacked Under | 76c | 51.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…332bbacked Under | 78c | 46.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…d539backed Under | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed Under | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3bbebacked Under | 74c | 13.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.