Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcff8a5281e4f6245206fd71038c978f78df179c91cbb3fa9857fe12d9a5e7e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 80c | 3,415$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 2,643$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 2,008$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.05 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…ae44backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 1,399$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.95 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 53c | 1,327$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes | 53c | 862.74$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 53c | 721.13$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 45c | 475.56$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 23c | 449.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 393.75$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 52c | 368$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 52c | 320.6$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.71 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 42c | 288.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 278.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 65c | 209.72$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 39c | 185.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 157.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 48c | 156$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Yes | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 53c | 135.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 43c | 128.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 50c | 109.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 21c | 100.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 46c | 97.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 53c | 96.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 53c | 94.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 93.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 87.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 85.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes | 53c | 85.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked No | 49c | 80.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 33c | 79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 78.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 53c | 76.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…5375backed Yes | 54c | 64.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 24c | 63.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 64c | 55.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 55.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 34c | 50.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…de4bbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…223ebacked Yes | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 53c | 47.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 53c | 42.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 53c | 42.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked No | 48c | 42.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed No | 60c | 40.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 53c | 38.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 52c | 31.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 54c | 30.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 48c | 30.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 55c | 30.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 46c | 29.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 59c | 28.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Yes | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 53c | 25.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 57c | 24.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed No | 57c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-15?No won
- Will Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.