Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x578c4203fe33cad4305e97f33dc67bbaf50d4e878ada51b6735b486ce6e8ef1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 23c | 2,887$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.25 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,904$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.56 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 14c | 1,668$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.52 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed No | 78c | 1,234$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 796.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Yes | 9c | 625.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 13c | 506.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…626abacked Yes | 24c | 460.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 351.17$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 317.37$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 317.27$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 78c | 317.27$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 309.12$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 77c | 258.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 77c | 170.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 22c | 154.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…21a8backed Yes | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 24c | 128.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 19c | 123.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 77c | 108$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 17c | 95.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 24c | 84.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 23c | 83.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 82.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 79.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 63.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 77c | 40.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 78c | 31.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed No | 77c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…de4bbacked No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…c546backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.