Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ba551225db2b82c66f80b6eb7957dda5600d774ad74802199693708aea786f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 1,074$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 848.92$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.32 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 483.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.56 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 408.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 403.59$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 49c | 374.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 19c | 371.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 48c | 300.01$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…b708backed Yes | 62c | 294.72$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed No | 18c | 279.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 258.13$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.02 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked No | 21c | 174.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 54c | 161.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 54c | 161.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 17c | 155.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 53c | 132.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 25c | 128.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 43c | 117.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 114.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 51c | 100.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed No | 65c | 93.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 74.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 64c | 65.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 18c | 55.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked Yes | 38c | 53.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 62c | 49.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 29c | 40.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 75c | 38.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Yes | 51c | 38.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 34.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 32.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 48c | 25.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…b425backed No | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…c546backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-15?No won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.