Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aalesunds FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc741462248a7799af861c0c1424fa5ebb25c0ed57b00f7cd1a17697e0150a535
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,075$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.05 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 48c | 1,700$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 438.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 56c | 417.26$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 274.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 54c | 145.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 45c | 140.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 12c | 120.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 40c | 91.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 42.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8692…35bebacked Over | 27c | 41.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 37.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 61c | 35.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 52c | 28.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 20.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 66c | 18.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 65c | 18.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aalesunds FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5this page
- Aalesunds FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kristiansund BK (-1.5)Aalesunds FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.