Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9caec7c43e7979223f279c2a5236402169906f306dcde0151361e3be508977dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 44c | 4,623$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 4,287$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,002$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 1,206$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.26 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 55c | 726.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Over | 59c | 443$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.37 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 362$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.9 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 42c | 272.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 78c | 237.45$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 169.34$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 46c | 76.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Over | 46c | 75.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 34c | 72.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 66c | 72.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 68.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 21c | 64.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 79c | 64.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 42c | 58.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Over | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 66c | 54.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 40.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 44c | 30.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…dda1backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 77c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 75c | 17.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 73c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 80c | 14.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)FC Alverca won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-2.5)FC Alverca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.