South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa1b7c1de202b3ae8d323fe8de4dfc0c3ed30a1ede8053f2914cba8a2c519c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 3,330$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.72 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 55c | 1,369$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.12 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 41c | 1,266$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.22 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over | 64c | 1,148$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 432.25$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 398.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 56c | 360.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.88 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 327.17$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 37c | 303.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 49c | 260.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 37c | 254.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 73c | 206.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 168.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over | 65c | 139.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…7a39backed Over | 80c | 124.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 36c | 111.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Over | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 51c | 64.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 54.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 35c | 42.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 63c | 37.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…ab38backed Over | 64c | 29.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…7152backed Over | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 79c | 13.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Platense won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.