South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x255d0c021fac9e975a70cefe79208abfefb31070141e16ccda80e7a4af3c81a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 3,614$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 40c | 2,454$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.46 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 2,128$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.97 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Over | 68c | 1,434$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.02 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 42c | 1,200$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.64 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,014$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 32c | 898.85$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.63 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 12c | 802.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 39c | 330.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 70c | 311.1$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Under | 12c | 297.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Over | 64c | 234.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Under | 39c | 221.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 195.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…6d59backed Over | 53c | 182.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 35c | 140.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 15c | 133.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 23c | 108.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3adcbacked Over | 48c | 105.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 31cpaid | +388.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 47c | 84.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 65c | 79.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 51c | 73.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 55c | 54.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 46c | 51.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 51c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 35.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 65c | 23.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 62c | 16.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 73c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 1.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.