Tennis · resolved market
Austin: Caty McNally vs Yulia Starodubtseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x020c64e609ecfd8f696c67be1db0c627459864890c225b8b7d01ab2731e4d0c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caty McNallyof Caty McNally, Yulia Starodubtseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,767 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Caty McNally | 61c | 4,266$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.93 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 20c | 4,210$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.09 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Caty McNally | 66c | 3,833$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.27 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 35c | 2,520$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.46 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Caty McNally | 72c | 2,128$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Caty McNally | 72c | 1,898$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.64 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 37c | 1,580$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.22 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 34c | 1,234$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.46 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 29c | 1,217$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.26 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Caty McNally | 50c | 794.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.83 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Caty McNally | 62c | 636.77$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.91 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Caty McNally | 53c | 475.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.42 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 30c | 463.91$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 13c | 443.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Caty McNally | 74c | 423.6$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Caty McNally | 72c | 381.53$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Caty McNally | 79c | 306.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 582 | 48.3%281 W · 301 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Caty McNally | 33c | 299.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.85 | 521 | 33%172 W · 349 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 37c | 271.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Caty McNally | 45c | 261$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.41 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 36c | 251.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 29c | 216$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 21c | 213.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 27c | 187.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Caty McNally | 51c | 186$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 35c | 159.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Caty McNally | 48c | 151.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Caty McNally | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Caty McNally | 70c | 148.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 38c | 130.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 52c | 111.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 33c | 106.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 35c | 101.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 26c | 97.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 34c | 97.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 26c | 94.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Caty McNally | 54c | 77.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 18c | 64.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 32c | 64.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Caty McNally | 70c | 62.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Caty McNally | 74c | 62.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Caty McNally | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Caty McNally | 62c | 60.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Caty McNally | 61c | 57.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Caty McNally | 72c | 57.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Caty McNally | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 33c | 46.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed Caty McNally | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Caty McNally | 76c | 26.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…ba18backed Caty McNally | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Caty McNally | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Caty McNally | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Caty McNally | 72c | 20.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…db07backed Caty McNally | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Caty McNally | 66c | 19.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.