Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12491dd8b78c0a37d940783bcf16da2667c728ba216f600ee9df059e4765bb97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 5,715$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.43 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 74c | 5,707$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 1,970$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.19 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,453$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.58 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 1c | 1,216$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 900.68$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.18 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 2c | 637.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 3c | 484.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 479$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 27c | 412.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Yes | 27c | 388.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 332.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…f58dbacked Yes | 25c | 41.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 80c | 39.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked No | 75c | 39.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Angers SCO vs. FC Metz end in a draw?No won
- Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.