NHL · resolved market
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Dinamo Minsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4d8931ad797313e0ffddff88b441578e0a743749207106c243d2580e1d4c394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Severstal Cherepovetsof Severstal Cherepovets, Dinamo Minsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Severstal Cherepovets | 48c | 534.54$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 42c | 322.83$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.24 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 42c | 281.24$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Severstal Cherepovets | 44c | 249.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.94 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…a715backed Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 207$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…5369backed Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 200.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 45c | 187.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…ed70backed Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd278…a88ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 100.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…7128backed Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Dinamo Minsk | 62c | 82.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Severstal Cherepovets | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…3dd1backed Dinamo Minsk | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Severstal Cherepovets | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…2f7dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Severstal Cherepovets | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Severstal Cherepovets | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Severstal Cherepovets | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Severstal Cherepovets | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 23.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.