MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x873a5c2b5f201b2aba62fea005c5cc71312e8f30e5fbbcbd6ac93b05f7a85f9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,734 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 4,694$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,060$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.74 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 2,262$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.6 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,182$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.46 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,170$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.4 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,158$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,141$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.42 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.94 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 997$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.12 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 891.17$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.4 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 875.2$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.37 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 845.01$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.37 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 661.9$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.65 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 625$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.58 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 616.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 597.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.11 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 585$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.91 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 505.75$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 384$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 358$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 347$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 336.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.23 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 316.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 246$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked San Francisco Giants | 19c | 241.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed San Francisco Giants | 13c | 208.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked San Francisco Giants | 5c | 199.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 171.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 156.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 155.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 110.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 107.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 102.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 87.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 82.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 70.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 57.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 55.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…95c4backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 54.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 53.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 52.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 46.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 43.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 39.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 38.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…6083backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 36.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 35.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…a1f5backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 35.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 33.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…d93dbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 29.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 28.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…04aabacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 27.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 21.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…ec46backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 19.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.