TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Iasi: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luka Pavlovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luka Pavlovicof Frederico Ferreira Silva, Luka Pavlovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Frederico Ferreira Silva21c9,617$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.448,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Luka Pavlovic26c3,086$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.116418.8%12 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Luka Pavlovic74c2,400$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.825,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva48c1,550$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.356,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Frederico Ferreira Silva40c1,437$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.648,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Luka Pavlovic38c1,305$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.9570041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva31c1,224$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.914,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Frederico Ferreira Silva71c888.64$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.3936157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Frederico Ferreira Silva18c734.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.054,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Frederico Ferreira Silva7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Luka Pavlovic60c377.23$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.553,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Frederico Ferreira Silva43c372.72$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8518537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Luka Pavlovic54c366$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.351,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Luka Pavlovic28c353.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7488935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Luka Pavlovic59c299.34$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.953,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva28c296.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8453736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Frederico Ferreira Silva43c256.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Luka Pavlovic61c246.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1991754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Luka Pavlovic58c239.41$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.792,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Luka Pavlovic55c222.01$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.491,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Frederico Ferreira Silva70c215.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Frederico Ferreira Silva15c203.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.138,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Frederico Ferreira Silva39c195.05$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.133,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Luka Pavlovic59c190.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.051,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Luka Pavlovic54c185.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5342930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Luka Pavlovic55c182.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3279646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Luka Pavlovic58c181.55$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.432,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Luka Pavlovic58c179.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.321,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Frederico Ferreira Silva65c178$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.522,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva41c163.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Frederico Ferreira Silva42c158.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.552,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva39c153.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.843,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed Luka Pavlovic55c146.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.151776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Luka Pavlovic57c137.7$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2116755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb77e…2ac6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva75c133.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013661.8%84 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Luka Pavlovic72c127.7$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.792,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva31c125$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.352,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Luka Pavlovic60c124.53$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.411,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Frederico Ferreira Silva42c120$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5227549.1%135 W · 140 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva44c115.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9721554%116 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Luka Pavlovic16c110.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.185,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Luka Pavlovic56c109.12$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.732,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Frederico Ferreira Silva35c106.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.122,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Luka Pavlovic49c106.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.196,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb684…b250backed Luka Pavlovic65c102.45$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.456149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Luka Pavlovic36c102.19$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.751,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Luka Pavlovic30c100.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5582958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Luka Pavlovic65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5992352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Luka Pavlovic66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.739451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Frederico Ferreira Silva43c93.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.911,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Luka Pavlovic27c74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0925336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Luka Pavlovic31c73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0197852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Luka Pavlovic53c72.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4273648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Frederico Ferreira Silva54c65.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6512061.7%74 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Luka Pavlovic29c64.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.242,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Luka Pavlovic74c63.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.416,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Luka Pavlovic51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4872755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Luka Pavlovic51c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5927550.2%138 W · 137 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Luka Pavlovic50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7129551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4462…bfdfbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva72c59.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9118147%85 W · 96 L-24.1wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Luka Pavlovic50c54.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9519744.7%88 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Luka Pavlovic57c52.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.22,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bdf…30c1backed Luka Pavlovic27c51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Frederico Ferreira Silva39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.635641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Luka Pavlovic24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.11,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Luka Pavlovic52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0156153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Frederico Ferreira Silva60c49.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6878957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Luka Pavlovic44c38.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8914435.4%51 W · 93 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Luka Pavlovic79c38.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.231,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Luka Pavlovic43c38.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.719474.7%145 W · 49 L+34.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Luka Pavlovic54c36.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6324546.5%114 W · 131 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Luka Pavlovic33c36.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.984,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva49c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Luka Pavlovic41c32.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.146440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Frederico Ferreira Silva45c31.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1435555.5%197 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Luka Pavlovic56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2335349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed Frederico Ferreira Silva35c28.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1418433.2%61 W · 123 L-40.4wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.3%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Luka Pavlovic44c27.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1537255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Luka Pavlovic64c22.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1347251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked Luka Pavlovic62c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.383650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Luka Pavlovic78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.430353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x332a…a06bbacked Luka Pavlovic54c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.183759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Frederico Ferreira Silva72c16.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8426563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.