MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c3b7931701f2f7d0297b6c93b834333615e3b76253f83f7155ec2f5ad51a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Cleveland Guardians, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 55c | 39,448$21,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,751.53 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 17,282$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 15,217$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 64c | 11,200$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.35 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 6,314$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.77 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…c3b2backed Houston Astros | 56c | 6,216$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 5,491$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 4,186$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.29 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 54c | 4,100$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 68c | 3,971$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 70c | 3,041$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.97 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 2,990$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 2,445$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.04 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 2,376$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 1,986$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.87 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 1,540$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 69c | 1,341$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.48 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros | 56c | 1,281$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.86 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 1,111$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.01 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 727$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.88 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros | 56c | 698.62$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.39 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…5baebacked Houston Astros | 57c | 560.33$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.32 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Houston Astros | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 454.33$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.19 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 404.6$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Houston Astros | 54c | 400.81$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.37 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 352.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Houston Astros | 56c | 315.34$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 302.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 273.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Houston Astros | 56c | 250.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Houston Astros | 55c | 224.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 222.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 222.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 216.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Houston Astros | 70c | 213.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 213.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Houston Astros | 55c | 212.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Houston Astros | 65c | 201.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 201$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 188.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 182.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 160.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Houston Astros | 54c | 159.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 153.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Houston Astros | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Houston Astros | 68c | 149$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 136$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 132.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 76c | 128.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Houston Astros | 71c | 122$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Houston Astros | 56c | 116.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 116$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Houston Astros | 66c | 114.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 108.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Houston Astros | 69c | 107.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…c9eebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 100.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 318 | 52.5%167 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe189…5f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Houston Astros | 66c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 94.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 93.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 87.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 80.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Houston Astros | 54c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Houston Astros | 56c | 78.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…69fdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Houston Astros | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 74.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 73.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 72.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 69.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 68.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Houston Astros | 69c | 66.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 63.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Houston Astros | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…7072backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 55.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 372 | 43.8%163 W · 209 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Houston Astros | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 530 | 55.8%296 W · 234 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…f3e4backed Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 53.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 53.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.