Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Lucas Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c4e40ae1e70b67fd272a301aa44db95283f1f369fad91271d9b7672cb941925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucas Da Silvaof Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, Lucas Da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 11c | 27,076$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.49 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 24c | 1,120$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.96 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 22c | 999.84$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Lucas Da Silva | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Lucas Da Silva | 64c | 839.58$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 15c | 744.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 22c | 727.46$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 15c | 666.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 11c | 534.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 15c | 516.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 45c | 499.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Lucas Da Silva | 55c | 258.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Lucas Da Silva | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 170.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Lucas Da Silva | 60c | 151.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 13c | 126$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…c2fcbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 28c | 101.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 40c | 97.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 15c | 73.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 31c | 58.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 18c | 57.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 36c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 19c | 54.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 42c | 40.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lucas Da Silva | 60c | 39.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 38c | 34.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 40c | 31.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lucas Da Silva | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 29.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed Lucas Da Silva | 55c | 20.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…c43ebacked Lucas Da Silva | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.