Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3b7c64733c75de6bcc210853c2174acd115c650aaa989a7483e08fed90d679a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadaof Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 11c | 18,872$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…b48cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 11c | 14,999$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.9 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 15c | 4,546$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.83 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 6c | 3,916$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101d…cad2backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2c | 2,250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 6c | 1,634$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 12c | 1,541$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 1,013$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 8c | 1,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 948$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 13c | 825.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 700$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…caf8backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 14c | 542.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 520.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…1fe7backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 12c | 484.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 457.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 420$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 10c | 415.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…7fcabacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 6c | 372.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 12c | 356.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 10c | 288.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 15c | 243.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 15c | 239.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…7c43backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 209$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…7793backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…c328backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 6c | 180.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 13c | 130.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…1530backed Bosnia and Herzegovina | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…af5dbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)this page
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.