Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ec0c20d6fce095b8294abc3a0131093a372ec87c4478c441a6d31cc3d2cb332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 9c | 35,342$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 9c | 12,032$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 9c | 10,113$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.02 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 9c | 8,016$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.09 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 9c | 6,998$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.83 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Under | 10c | 5,230$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…97e2backed Under | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 9c | 4,092$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.2 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 10c | 3,970$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 8c | 2,499$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Under | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 9c | 1,884$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.56 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 9c | 1,607$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.63 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 9c | 1,570$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Under | 8c | 1,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Under | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 10c | 964.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 9c | 794.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 739.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 8c | 641.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Under | 9c | 477.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Under | 10c | 422$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 8c | 410.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…a779backed Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 9c | 399.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 9c | 346.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 10c | 293.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 10c | 288.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 9c | 226$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Under | 9c | 199.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…0c6fbacked Under | 10c | 188$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 9c | 170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 9c | 150.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…bec4backed Under | 10c | 104.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…798bbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5this page
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.