Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b331ce08b5b76cf7e680b0fa177d306c6c421cf214b8df230c34392e988c952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 9c | 33,941$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.71 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 8c | 15,754$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.33 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 8c | 12,493$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 9c | 7,803$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 8c | 4,763$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.78 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 3,839$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Over | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 13c | 1,618$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 6c | 1,383$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…4c93backed Over | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 10c | 1,196$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Over | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 8c | 956.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 9c | 941.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 8c | 650$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Over | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…bd78backed Over | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 8c | 459.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 9c | 435.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 9c | 420$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 17c | 385.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 8c | 381.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 15c | 343.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 312.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 8c | 307$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…cc2fbacked Over | 9c | 291.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 8c | 253.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d59…0f55backed Over | 8c | 237.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 9c | 228.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 8c | 200.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 15c | 196.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Over | 9c | 190.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 323 | 17.6%57 W · 266 L | -43.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 8c | 159.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 9c | 157.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 8c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Over | 8c | 136.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…0367backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5this page
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Canada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.