TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,353 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over65c2,999$1,959 inLost-$1,959.021,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked Under38c1,000$380 inWon+$6201681.3%13 W · 3 L+6.1wins+0.38per pick43cpaid+268.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Under33c909.24$300 inWon+$609.249947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc260…68dfbacked Under56c567.86$318 inWon+$249.861957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f83…3af9backed Under56c417.93$233 inWon+$184.541968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Under36c403.65$145 inWon+$258.443464.7%22 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+60.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc0ca…35f7backed Under33c303.03$100 inWon+$203.032470.8%17 W · 7 L+6.6wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under44c249.6$111 inWon+$1399450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over38c243.75$93 inLost-$92.632,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over45c177.48$80 inLost-$80.0380225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under54c174.19$94 inWon+$80.276654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Over58c153.45$89 inLost-$8916032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under33c151.51$50 inWon+$101.5113268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xadb8…c3f0backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…d785backed Over62c80.95$50 inLost-$506061.7%37 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8611…3449backed Under33c63.64$21 inWon+$42.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over47c50$24 inLost-$23.52,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…154ebacked Over38c39.47$15 inLost-$151233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under34c37$12 inWon+$24.514247.6%20 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over45c35.49$16 inLost-$15.9743460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00bb…c45fbacked Over46c28.37$13 inLost-$13.052138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under58c27.67$16 inWon+$11.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.