Fifa International · resolved market
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1665a87c823d5dacd72a5123e5783d6fdcd4bf246b054f171f5ad8c10852799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes | 50c | 25,512$12,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,753.53 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked No | 51c | 25,054$12,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,226.94 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,499.99 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 45c | 20,721$9,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,305.88 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed No | 43c | 13,700$5,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,846.42 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Yes | 48c | 10,010$4,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.29 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed No | 40c | 1,052$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.37 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 59c | 541$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.19 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 69c | 411.55$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.94 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 30c | 368.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 74c | 246.58$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Yes | 58c | 244.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 50c | 174.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 52c | 74.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 52c | 41.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…1615backed Yes | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alexis Vega: 2+ shotsthis page
- Alexis Vega: 1+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Vega: 3+ shotsNo won
- Armando González: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goalsNo won
- César Huerta: 1+ assistsNo won
- César Huerta: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsYes won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lyle Foster: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsYes won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shotsYes won
- Roberto Alvarado: 2+ shotsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.