MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0b3f3237e69db6943ce02ec14c52091bdf192f833dd49b5290558565b64cbeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof New York Yankees, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0165…8235backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 12,974$9,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed New York Yankees | 39c | 12,500$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 8,801$5,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 18c | 4,937$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.14 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Yankees | 36c | 4,467$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.44 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,836$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 1,162$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.15 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 50c | 1,125$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 49c | 1,048$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 903.8$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.48 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked New York Yankees | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed New York Yankees | 2c | 625.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 580.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.16 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 39c | 577.49$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 505.18$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 495.38$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.38 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…bfe9backed New York Yankees | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 145.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 129$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27f…cdf5backed New York Yankees | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed New York Yankees | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 92.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Texas Rangers | 21c | 57.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed New York Yankees | 49c | 51.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed New York Yankees | 60c | 47.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed New York Yankees | 64c | 46.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 72c | 46.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…7d1fbacked New York Yankees | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdb…da6abacked New York Yankees | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 36.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed New York Yankees | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed New York Yankees | 60c | 35.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…8120backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 34.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 33.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 29.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 28.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Texas RangersNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.