NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29e99552b11f20c6510543425502936133b25d0be81c72df5d9a27e4f532303e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Orleans Pelicansof New Orleans Pelicans, Phoenix Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedc7…12cdbacked Phoenix Suns | 33c | 23,115$7,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,705.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 66c | 20,279$13,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.76 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 66c | 1,730$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.01 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Phoenix Suns | 60c | 757.5$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Phoenix Suns | 69c | 604.17$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.49 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New Orleans Pelicans | 71c | 554.45$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Orleans Pelicans | 47c | 522.53$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 75c | 487.61$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Phoenix Suns | 29c | 414.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 37c | 400.57$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Phoenix Suns | 68c | 365.37$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.45 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 59c | 363.48$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New Orleans Pelicans | 66c | 208.75$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phoenix Suns | 18c | 203.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…ee4abacked New Orleans Pelicans | 36c | 196.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed New Orleans Pelicans | 64c | 185$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New Orleans Pelicans | 67c | 166.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 33c | 165.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed New Orleans Pelicans | 39c | 163.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…c0d6backed Phoenix Suns | 36c | 147.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Phoenix Suns | 66c | 136.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Phoenix Suns | 58c | 133.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Phoenix Suns | 50c | 127.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed New Orleans Pelicans | 39c | 118$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Phoenix Suns | 65c | 116.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed New Orleans Pelicans | 71c | 110.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked New Orleans Pelicans | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…0374backed Phoenix Suns | 33c | 84.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…3545backed Phoenix Suns | 69c | 72.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 30c | 61.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Phoenix Suns | 57c | 61.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…5452backed New Orleans Pelicans | 61c | 56.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 61c | 50.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked New Orleans Pelicans | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Phoenix Suns | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Phoenix Suns | 65c | 45.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -7.5wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa26d…455cbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 36c | 41.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Phoenix Suns | 62c | 39.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…0954backed Phoenix Suns | 66c | 37.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed New Orleans Pelicans | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Phoenix Suns | 33c | 34.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -11.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Phoenix Suns | 63c | 31.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New Orleans Pelicans | 79c | 29.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Phoenix Suns | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Phoenix Suns | 36c | 27.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed New Orleans Pelicans | 53c | 25.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New Orleans Pelicans | 67c | 23.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Phoenix Suns | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed Phoenix Suns | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked New Orleans Pelicans | 61c | 17.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…8821backed Phoenix Suns | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.