TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa26d…455c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 53.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+256%+$53.76
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$9.79
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$14.33
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$6.66
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$46.21
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+37.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. Chicago Bullsbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+164.3%+$19.72
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked New York Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$24.21
NBA Summer League: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked New Orleans Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+180.5%+$26.7
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$55.11
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$34.45
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+129%+$82.08
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$52.91
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+159.1%+$44.56
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$38.92
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+217%+$32.54
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$17.71
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+122%+$41.36
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.13
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+132.1%+$189.23
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.42
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.