Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3dbda53b056c753609932db3e895a1b88e76adb763552d71cc963924ed29dfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3a3…3411backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 3,192$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…3cd7backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 2,450$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 1win | 39c | 1,589$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.65 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win | 35c | 1,306$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.14 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…60aabacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 910.65$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 31c | 875.87$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.52 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed 1win | 39c | 618.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.05 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed 1win | 38c | 600$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.28 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked 1win | 68c | 557.29$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.27 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 536.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed 1win | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 495.74$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.76 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 457.34$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked 1win | 72c | 432.81$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.49 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed 1win | 73c | 404.82$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 396.88$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.79 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 1win | 44c | 390.7$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed 1win | 41c | 323.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed 1win | 42c | 296.13$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.38 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 1win | 46c | 282.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed 1win | 42c | 254.89$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 223.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed 1win | 75c | 217.4$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed 1win | 72c | 202.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed 1win | 43c | 201.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 175.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…7a93backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 152.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked 1win | 64c | 149.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 26c | 146.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked 1win | 69c | 141.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 31c | 140.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed 1win | 43c | 135.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 118.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 117.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…133ebacked 1win | 35c | 111.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 109.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed 1win | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked 1win | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked 1win | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 90.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…52d8backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 80.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 79.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 67.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 65.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 1win | 43c | 59.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed 1win | 43c | 58.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1win | 37c | 57.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d967backed 1win | 42c | 55.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 54.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…108dbacked 1win | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed 1win | 44c | 49.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked 1win | 68c | 48.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0474…fbd4backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 35.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…d99cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed 1win | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked 1win | 37c | 27.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed 1win | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed 1win | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked 1win | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 64c | 17.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.