Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d3f79eaf3c171d756419247974b2897c71dc20369a2ddd23e202a0b9826001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 66c | 2,846$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.81 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 1,580$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 1,203$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.5 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 863.05$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.94 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 802.62$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.98 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1win | 25c | 601.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 43c | 537.22$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…1d1bbacked 1win | 50c | 451$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed 1win | 55c | 438.82$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.35 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 418.25$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.13 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked 1win | 40c | 233.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 185.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed 1win | 33c | 163.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed 1win | 7c | 145$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 139.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 121.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked 1win | 26c | 72.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 69.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 68.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed 1win | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked 1win | 64c | 48.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked 1win | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 29.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…c511backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 21.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group ANemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.