Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd34c9f891c9621f2b48f8dd48edfd1a8da19c7452ec8f7e1ff045b61bd34b03b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 73c | 2,262$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.87 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 1,926$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.12 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed 1win | 9c | 1,776$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 1,021$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.89 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 1,008$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.91 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 1win | 39c | 926.44$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.23 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed 1win | 50c | 583.77$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 516$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1win | 64c | 468.71$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.39 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 394.26$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 1win | 58c | 356.71$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 273.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 218.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.86 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 208.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 192.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked 1win | 65c | 176.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked 1win | 60c | 145.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 133.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 1win | 54c | 89.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 67.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 65.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 58.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked 1win | 67c | 54.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked 1win | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 42.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 38.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed 1win | 64c | 20.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed 1win | 76c | 19.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked 1win | 68c | 15.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group ANemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.