Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ca384353d575dd39117ff37ae99f9932917603e4361be2bdb6e632eec687ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof CGN Esports, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FOKUS | 58c | 2,812$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.51 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CGN Esports | 50c | 1,815$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.94 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked CGN Esports | 61c | 1,246$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.79 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CGN Esports | 41c | 1,241$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.15 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed CGN Esports | 45c | 964.57$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.52 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed FOKUS | 31c | 938.46$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.11 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed CGN Esports | 39c | 593.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.9 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked FOKUS | 54c | 580.47$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CGN Esports | 30c | 573.4$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.7 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked CGN Esports | 40c | 568.78$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.21 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked FOKUS | 58c | 565.2$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.68 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked FOKUS | 63c | 530.09$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.87 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked FOKUS | 30c | 510.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed FOKUS | 50c | 509.25$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.63 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FOKUS | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS | 58c | 450.18$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.87 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed FOKUS | 58c | 386.81$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.57 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked CGN Esports | 63c | 347.12$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed CGN Esports | 40c | 333.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed FOKUS | 46c | 323.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked CGN Esports | 48c | 309.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed FOKUS | 55c | 290.45$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FOKUS | 57c | 238.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…57ddbacked FOKUS | 54c | 230.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed CGN Esports | 48c | 216.38$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed CGN Esports | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed CGN Esports | 57c | 192.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed FOKUS | 55c | 182.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed CGN Esports | 39c | 177.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked CGN Esports | 46c | 155.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked FOKUS | 53c | 144.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed FOKUS | 49c | 126.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked CGN Esports | 43c | 100.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FOKUS | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FOKUS | 54c | 97.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed CGN Esports | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS | 60c | 87.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed FOKUS | 57c | 87.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FOKUS | 31c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed FOKUS | 54c | 78.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FOKUS | 52c | 77.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FOKUS | 50c | 76.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…0994backed FOKUS | 29c | 68.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked CGN Esports | 25c | 67.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked CGN Esports | 46c | 65.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CGN Esports | 64c | 64.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed FOKUS | 59c | 62.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked FOKUS | 74c | 61.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked FOKUS | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed CGN Esports | 78c | 50.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed CGN Esports | 46c | 48.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…ed25backed FOKUS | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 51c | 38.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked CGN Esports | 39c | 33.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed CGN Esports | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed CGN Esports | 41c | 26.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked CGN Esports | 76c | 23.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 78cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerCGN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.