Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Misa Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cd23453dde249ebd0686f825c4af37bcf075d88b69962fdba20b5c04382a183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, FUT Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed FUT Academy | 27c | 1,270$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.77 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked FUT Academy | 28c | 794.43$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.87 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked FUT Academy | 31c | 730$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c4bfbacked Misa Esports | 72c | 557$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 490.05$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 490.05$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Misa Esports | 73c | 490.05$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 74c | 382.33$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 352$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Misa Esports | 61c | 341.67$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.58 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed FUT Academy | 25c | 297.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed FUT Academy | 30c | 287.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Misa Esports | 69c | 287.18$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FUT Academy | 28c | 253.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 245.58$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Misa Esports | 80c | 204.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Misa Esports | 69c | 157.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed FUT Academy | 30c | 144.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked FUT Academy | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports | 62c | 99.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Academy | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 94.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Misa Esports | 75c | 87.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Misa Esports | 70c | 86.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FUT Academy | 19c | 72.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FUT Academy | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Academy | 29c | 62.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FUT Academy | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Misa Esports | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 69c | 50.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Misa Esports | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed FUT Academy | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed FUT Academy | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed FUT Academy | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Misa Esports | 72c | 35.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Misa Esports | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 25.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Misa Esports | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.35per pick | 58cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Misa Esports | 77c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports | 77c | 18.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 16.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Misa Esports | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs FUT Academy - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs FUT Academy - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.