Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d53da5dd05e7f4bcfab3a212cec5162afb52ae441e4d743dc5232baf148d97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KPI Gamingof KPI Gaming, HGE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HGE Esports | 2c | 1,168$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HGE Esports | 6c | 888.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HGE Esports | 14c | 762.43$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44b…4048backed KPI Gaming | 60c | 654.96$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.96 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HGE Esports | 20c | 411.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HGE Esports | 3c | 396.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed HGE Esports | 26c | 299.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed HGE Esports | 4c | 285.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed HGE Esports | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HGE Esports | 43c | 249.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HGE Esports | 45c | 235.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HGE Esports | 10c | 210.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HGE Esports | 45c | 206.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed KPI Gaming | 57c | 159.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed HGE Esports | 50c | 152.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked KPI Gaming | 61c | 143.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HGE Esports | 48c | 135.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed KPI Gaming | 55c | 127.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked HGE Esports | 12c | 104.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed HGE Esports | 25c | 102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked KPI Gaming | 60c | 88.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HGE Esports | 36c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed HGE Esports | 34c | 59.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked KPI Gaming | 61c | 46.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked HGE Esports | 39c | 43.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed HGE Esports | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked KPI Gaming | 61c | 35.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed KPI Gaming | 56c | 32.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked KPI Gaming | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…ea9dbacked KPI Gaming | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports - Map 1 WinnerHGE Esports won
- Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports - Map 2 WinnerKPI Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.