Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf389d0ec3ececf5b4332d9ac6e488902ffd834a6f8a2381ad43b54c42cdb6cf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 46c | 124,984$57,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,121.37 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 87,097$41,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,290.67 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 52c | 86,131$44,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,676.61 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 55c | 49,737$27,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,138.1 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 25,000$13,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,325 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 25,000$13,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,325 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 53c | 18,604$9,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,915.84 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.99 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Under | 53c | 9,500$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 53c | 9,000$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 54c | 8,704$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 53c | 8,451$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,504.45 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 6,916$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.33 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 6,071$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 56c | 5,400$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 56c | 2,340$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 54c | 1,228$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.13 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 53c | 829.19$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.47 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 750.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.76 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 53c | 749.98$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.15 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 55c | 544.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.74 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 45c | 453.04$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.56 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 54c | 376.25$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 53c | 312.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.56 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 252$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 56c | 232.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…45ecbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 46c | 96.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9051backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 53c | 94.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 49c | 81.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 45c | 77.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 46c | 64.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…620cbacked Under | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…da51backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Under | 56c | 26.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 53c | 25.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…470fbacked Under | 53c | 20.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 53c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 137.5this page
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State VikingsPortland State Vikings won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-6.5)Portland State Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.