Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73b6c1f360cc941415a34de8262925bc50fde872d5febe8610fe39cd7c634d9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland State Vikingsof Idaho State Bengals, Portland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Portland State Vikings | 75c | 10,345$7,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.22 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Idaho State Bengals | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…f6b2backed Idaho State Bengals | 22c | 3,941$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Idaho State Bengals | 9c | 3,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…0e15backed Idaho State Bengals | 26c | 1,500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Idaho State Bengals | 25c | 1,193$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.27 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Portland State Vikings | 77c | 991.78$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Idaho State Bengals | 26c | 967.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Idaho State Bengals | 14c | 858.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland State Vikings | 74c | 808.46$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Portland State Vikings | 73c | 512.29$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Idaho State Bengals | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Portland State Vikings | 80c | 480$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Portland State Vikings | 77c | 424.86$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Portland State Vikings | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Portland State Vikings | 78c | 265.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Idaho State Bengals | 11c | 225$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Idaho State Bengals | 14c | 102$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Idaho State Bengals | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Portland State Vikings | 74c | 92.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Portland State Vikings | 79c | 70.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Portland State Vikings | 75c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Portland State Vikings | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Idaho State Bengals | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Idaho State Bengals | 24c | 49.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…b135backed Portland State Vikings | 75c | 45.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Idaho State Bengals | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Portland State Vikings | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Portland State Vikings | 74c | 22.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikingsthis page
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-6.5)Portland State Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.