Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Portland State Vikings (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed953cf63e5108c709d8e161b1afce20b47fe8ba242d6f429825ef255ef5b5e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland State Vikingsof Portland State Vikings, Idaho State Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland State Vikings | 50c | 5,032$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Idaho State Bengals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Portland State Vikings | 52c | 3,090$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.17 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Idaho State Bengals | 47c | 2,805$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.57 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 2,449$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.56 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Portland State Vikings | 53c | 2,085$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.66 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Portland State Vikings | 52c | 1,315$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.35 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 741.42$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Portland State Vikings | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Portland State Vikings | 53c | 527$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.29 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Portland State Vikings | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Portland State Vikings | 53c | 480.93$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Portland State Vikings | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Portland State Vikings | 49c | 210.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 184.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Portland State Vikings | 52c | 181.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Portland State Vikings | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Portland State Vikings | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Portland State Vikings | 53c | 57.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Portland State Vikings | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9051backed Idaho State Bengals | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Portland State Vikings | 52c | 49.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Portland State Vikings | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Portland State Vikings | 54c | 46.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 39.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…da51backed Portland State Vikings | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 36.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Idaho State Bengals | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Portland State Vikings | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-6.5)this page
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State VikingsPortland State Vikings won
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 137.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.