NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x253af07bf535666502067735b52a700ecea0555d98e944caa56038efee830ad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 50c | 32,734$16,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,366.96 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 28,074$13,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,985.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Under | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.71 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 8,434$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.44 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 6,950$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.93 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Over | 50c | 4,040$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 2,401$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 48c | 1,894$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.66 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 1,277$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 50c | 1,062$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.89 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 50c | 790$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 666$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 49c | 371.08$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 364$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 167.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 52c | 149.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 131.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 50c | 124.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 51c | 119.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 93.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 51c | 89.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Over | 52c | 87.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 52c | 84.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 72.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 51c | 58.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 57.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 51c | 47.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 50c | 41.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b2…cf0abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Under | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…a799backed Over | 51c | 35.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…d5a8backed Over | 50c | 26.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 51c | 24.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pelicans (-0.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.