Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Montana Grizzlies vs. Sacramento State Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa243b5aa89d78571cfeb685db23cb10d284d5bbdfc866605f6990f0c25d84d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sacramento State Hornetsof Montana Grizzlies, Sacramento State Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Montana Grizzlies | 62c | 32,721$20,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,188.84 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 44c | 20,873$9,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,678.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 38c | 17,243$6,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,647.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Montana Grizzlies | 62c | 7,425$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Montana Grizzlies | 60c | 6,375$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.83 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Montana Grizzlies | 37c | 4,138$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.31 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Sacramento State Hornets | 40c | 4,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 55c | 2,937$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.36 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 40c | 2,871$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.6 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Montana Grizzlies | 2c | 2,750$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Montana Grizzlies | 14c | 2,130$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Sacramento State Hornets | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Montana Grizzlies | 19c | 1,947$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.08 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Sacramento State Hornets | 43c | 1,595$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.67 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sacramento State Hornets | 36c | 1,226$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.02 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Montana Grizzlies | 30c | 1,129$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.74 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Montana Grizzlies | 29c | 1,062$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.27 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sacramento State Hornets | 59c | 952.98$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.09 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Sacramento State Hornets | 33c | 913.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.59 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…cf1bbacked Montana Grizzlies | 12c | 836.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Montana Grizzlies | 6c | 750.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Montana Grizzlies | 11c | 696.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Sacramento State Hornets | 40c | 692.5$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.5 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Montana Grizzlies | 13c | 564.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Montana Grizzlies | 20c | 535.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Montana Grizzlies | 7c | 507.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Montana Grizzlies | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Montana Grizzlies | 28c | 435.81$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Sacramento State Hornets | 35c | 412.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.86 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Montana Grizzlies | 11c | 363.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sacramento State Hornets | 51c | 341$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Montana Grizzlies | 20c | 333$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sacramento State Hornets | 39c | 323$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.03 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Montana Grizzlies | 9c | 304.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Montana Grizzlies | 35c | 286.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Montana Grizzlies | 8c | 251.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Montana Grizzlies | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Montana Grizzlies | 38c | 206.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 75c | 199.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Montana Grizzlies | 33c | 182.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sacramento State Hornets | 40c | 177.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Montana Grizzlies | 11c | 173.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Montana Grizzlies | 64c | 157.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Sacramento State Hornets | 40c | 152.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Sacramento State Hornets | 39c | 147$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Sacramento State Hornets | 54c | 133.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Montana Grizzlies | 18c | 133.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Montana Grizzlies | 52c | 105.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Montana Grizzlies | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…0decbacked Montana Grizzlies | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Sacramento State Hornets | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sacramento State Hornets | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed Montana Grizzlies | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Montana Grizzlies | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…3f6cbacked Montana Grizzlies | 37c | 34.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Montana Grizzlies | 62c | 30.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Sacramento State Hornets | 40c | 30.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Montana Grizzlies | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Montana Grizzlies | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 39c | 26.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Montana Grizzlies | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Montana Grizzlies | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Montana Grizzlies | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Montana Grizzlies | 61c | 21.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Montana Grizzlies | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.