Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rider Broncs vs. Manhattan Jaspers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b901af229a8bd4656ee238c59c1d73482d64f703e760d83a4e58edd29ccf37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manhattan Jaspersof Rider Broncs, Manhattan Jaspers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Rider Broncs | 39c | 1,137$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.39 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manhattan Jaspers | 62c | 1,124$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.29 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Manhattan Jaspers | 68c | 997.17$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.98 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Rider Broncs | 33c | 930.87$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.3 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rider Broncs | 40c | 892.33$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Manhattan Jaspers | 70c | 828$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.36 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rider Broncs | 3c | 537.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rider Broncs | 41c | 524.05$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Rider Broncs | 24c | 493.84$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Rider Broncs | 30c | 452.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Manhattan Jaspers | 73c | 402.4$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Rider Broncs | 29c | 378.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Rider Broncs | 32c | 370.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Manhattan Jaspers | 71c | 332$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rider Broncs | 29c | 241$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 72c | 194.61$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rider Broncs | 29c | 194.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 70c | 155.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Manhattan Jaspers | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Manhattan Jaspers | 56c | 102.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rider Broncs | 29c | 101$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Rider Broncs | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rider Broncs | 28c | 99.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4320…814bbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Manhattan Jaspers | 58c | 83.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Rider Broncs | 52c | 79.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Manhattan Jaspers | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Manhattan Jaspers | 71c | 72.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 56.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Manhattan Jaspers | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Rider Broncs | 42c | 51.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Manhattan Jaspers | 68c | 44.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Manhattan Jaspers | 63c | 42.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…22c7backed Manhattan Jaspers | 69c | 40.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Manhattan Jaspers | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rider Broncs | 29c | 36.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 67c | 36.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Manhattan Jaspers | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 49c | 29.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Manhattan Jaspers | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Manhattan Jaspers | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…fc42backed Manhattan Jaspers | 78c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Manhattan Jaspers | 61c | 24.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Manhattan Jaspers | 64c | 22.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Manhattan Jaspers | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…c0debacked Manhattan Jaspers | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Manhattan Jaspers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rider Broncs vs. Manhattan Jaspersthis page
- Rider Broncs vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-6.5)Rider Broncs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.