TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,378 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cc3…edf0backed Patriots1c999$11 inLost-$10.99425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…4721backed Seahawks60c700$420 inWon+$2803100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Patriots40c216$86 inLost-$86.41225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Patriots51c200$102 inLost-$10273651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Patriots40c127$51 inLost-$50.835648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Patriots40c100$40 inLost-$405040%20 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Seahawks53c94.34$50 inWon+$44.341050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8af9…c3e8backed Patriots55c90.91$50 inLost-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Seahawks50c66$33 inWon+$333345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Patriots61c65.7$40 inLost-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-67.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Seahawks39c57.83$23 inWon+$35.2814158.9%83 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Patriots50c54.15$27 inLost-$27.083467.6%23 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+60.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots47c53.01$25 inLost-$25.0412055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92b8…9592backed Patriots46c51.02$23 inLost-$23.47147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-84.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2d6d…839abacked Seahawks52c25$13 inWon+$12.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.