Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43e84b0588fab00eee97bcca340669e21c0ba6f7b5b3503dd604ad4d506cddaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 1,303$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 58c | 1,197$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.08 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 364.79$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.02 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Over | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 16c | 139.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 117.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 47c | 92.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 43c | 91.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 67.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 65.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…0a58backed Under | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Over | 49c | 59.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 42.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 55c | 34.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…31c2backed Over | 44c | 24.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 54c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 161.5this page
- Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State WildcatsKansas State Wildcats won
- Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-3.5)Kansas State Wildcats won
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-4.5)Kansas State Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.